• Journal of Geographical Sciences
  • Vol. 30, Issue 1, 37 (2020)
Jian ZHOU1、1、1、1, Tong JIANG1、1、1、1, Buda Su1、1、1、1、1、1、1、1、1、1、1、1、*, Yanjun WANG1、1、1、1, Hui TAO1、1、1、1, Jiancheng QIN1、1、1、1、1、1、1、1, and Jianqing ZHAI1、1、1、1、1、1、1、1
Author Affiliations
  • 11Collaboration Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Institute for Disaster Risk Management/School of Geographical Science, Nanjing University of Information Science & Tec¬h¬¬nology, Nanjing 210044, China
  • 12National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
  • 13State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, CAS, Urumqi 830011, China; 4. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 101408, China
  • 14University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 101408, China
  • show less
    DOI: 10.1007/s11442-020-1713-z Cite this Article
    Jian ZHOU, Tong JIANG, Buda Su, Yanjun WANG, Hui TAO, Jiancheng QIN, Jianqing ZHAI. Spatiotemporal variations of aridity index over the Belt and Road region under the 1.5℃ and 2.0℃ warming scenarios[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(1): 37 Copy Citation Text show less
    References

    [1] G Allen R. Crop evapotranspiration: Guidelines for computing crop water requirements. FAO Irrigation & Drainage Paper, 56(1998).

    [2] K Arora V. The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff. Journal of Hydrology, 265, 164-177(2002).

    [3] T Botzan, M Mariano, A Necula. Modified De Martonne aridity index: Application to the Napa Basin, California. Physical Geography, 19, 55-70(1998).

    [4] W Brutsaert, B Parlange M. Hydrologic cycle explains the evaporation paradox. Nature, 396, 30(1998).

    [5] J Chen, C Gao, X Zeng et al. Assessing changes of river discharge under global warming of 1.5℃ and 2℃ in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Approach by using multiple-GCMs and hydrological models. Quaternary International, 453, 63-73(2017).

    [6] X Chen, X Mo, S Hu et al. Contributions of climate change and human activities to ET and GPP trends over North China Plain from 2000 to 2014. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 27, 661-680(2017).

    [7] W Cheng J, X Zhang Y. Discussion on relation between humidity index and aridity degree. Journal of Desert Research, 16, 79-82(1996).

    [8] T Cong Z, H Ni G, W Yang D et al. Evaporation paradox in China. Advances in Water Science, 19, 147-152(2008).

    [9] P Cui Y, P Xiao D, J Liu S et al. Growth periods variation of summer maize and winter wheat and their correlations with hydrothermal conditions in recent years in China. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 26, 388-396(2018).

    [10] K Djaman, G Komla. Trend analysis in reference evapotranspiration and aridity index in the context of climate change in Togo. Journal of Water & Climate Change, 6, 848-864(2015).

    [11] S Feng,, Q Fu,. Expansion of global drylands under a warming climate. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 10081-10094(2013).

    [12] K Frieler, S Lange, F Piontek et al. Assessing the impacts of 1.5℃ global warming: Simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 10, 1-59(2017).

    [13] Q Fu, S Feng. Responses of terrestrial aridity to global warming. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 119, 7863-7875(2014).

    [14] R Hao Z, W Guo, Y He J et al. The variation tendency of surface aridity index of Shanxi province in recent 50 years. Agricultural Research in Arid Areas, 32, 244-249(2014).

    [15] I Harris, D Jones P, J Osborn T et al. Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations: The CRU TS3.10 Dataset. International Journal of Climatology, 34, 623-642(2014).

    [16] S Hempel, K Frieler, L Warszawski et al. A trend-preserving bias correction: The ISI-MIP approach. Earth System Dynamics, 4, 219-236(2013).

    [17] P Huang H, P Han Y, M Cao M et al. Spatial-temporal variation of aridity index of China during 1960-2013. Advances in Meteorology, 31, 1488-1498(2016).

    [18] L Huang J, J Wang Y, T Fischer et al. Simulation and projection of climatic changes in the Indus River Basin, using the regional climate model COSMO-CLM. International Journal of Climatology, 37, 2545-2562(2017).

    [19] G Huntington T. Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: Review and synthesis. Journal of Hydrology, 319, 83-95(2006).

    [20] . Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. IPCC Working Group 1 Contribution to AR5. Cambridge.

    [21] . Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report, in: Contribution of Working Groups I, 151(2014).

    [22] T Jiang, J Wang Y, S Yuan J et al. Projection of population and economy in “the Belt and Road” countries (2020‒2060). Climate Change Research, 14, 155-164(2018).

    [23] P Li F, X Zhang G, Q Dong L et al. Studies for impact of climate change on hydrology and water resources. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 33, 457-464(2013).

    [24] L Lin, A Gettelman, S Feng et al. Simulated climatology and evolution of aridity in the 21st century. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 120, 5795-5815(2015).

    [25] X Liu F, J Wang Y, J Zhao et al. Variations of the extreme precipitation under the global warning of 1.5℃ and 2.0℃ in the mid-lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 26, 778-788(2017).

    [26] D Liu W, Y Song Z, G Liu Z et al. Progress in research on the Belt and Road Initiative. Acta Geographica Sinica, 73, 620-636(2018).

    [27] M Liu X, D Zhang, Z Luo Y et al. Spatial and temporal changes in aridity index in northwest China: 1960 to 2010. Theoretical & Applied Climatology, 112, 307-316(2013).

    [28] M Lu, Y Chen, Q Lu Y et al. The spatial balance pattern between land and sea transport in Europe-Asia under the Belt and Road Initiative. Acta Geographica Sinica, 73, 1526-1539(2018).

    [29] M Meng, J Ni, G Zhang Z. Aridity index and its applications in geo-ecological study. Acta Phytoecologica Sinica, 28, 853-861(2004).

    [30] T Nastos P, N Politi, J Kapsomenakis. Spatial and temporal variability of the Aridity Index in Greece. Atmospheric Research, 119, 140-152(2013).

    [31] T Oki, S Kanae. Global hydrological cycles and world water resources. Science, 313, 1068-1072(2006).

    [32] C Peterson T, S Golubev V, Y Groisman P. Evaporation losing its strength. Nature, 377, 687-688(1995).

    [33] M Ponce V, P Pandey R, S Ercan. Characterization of drought across climatic spectrum. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 5, 222-224(2000).

    [34] L Roderick M, D Rotstayn L, D Farquhar G et al. On the attribution of changing pan evaporation. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, 251-270(2007).

    [35] J Schilling, J Vivekananda, P Nisha et al. Vulnerability to environmental risks and effects on community resilience in mid-west Nepal and South-East Pakistan. Environment & Natural Resources Research, 3, 1-19(2013).

    [36] F Schleussner C, K Lissner T, M Fischer E et al. Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: The case of 1.5℃ and 2℃. Earth System Dynamics, 6, 2447-2505(2016).

    [37] D Su B, L Huang J, M Gemmer et al. Statistical downscaling of CMIP5 multi-model ensemble for projected changes of climate in the Indus River Basin. Atmospheric Research, 178/179, 138-149(2016).

    [38] D Su B, N Jian D, C Li X et al. Projection of actual evapotranspiration using the COSMO-CLM regional climate model under global warming scenarios of 1.5℃ and 2.0℃ in the Tarim River Basin, China. Atmospheric Research, 196, 119-128(2017).

    [39] M Sun H, J Chen et al. Exposure of population to droughts in the Haihe River Basin under global warming of 1.5 and 2.0℃ scenarios. Quaternary International, 453, 74-84(2017).

    [40] H Tabari, B Aghajanloo M. Temporal pattern of aridity index in Iran with considering precipitation and evapotranspiration trends. International Journal of Climatology, 33, 396-409(2013).

    [41] M Türkeş. Spatial and temporal variations in precipitation and aridity index series of Turkey. Mediterranean Climate - Variability and Trends, 181-213(2003).

    [42] Q Wang A, D Su B, J Wang Y et al. Variation of the extreme minimum temperature events and farmland exposure under global warming of 1.5℃ and 2.0℃. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 75, 415-428(2017).

    [43] F Wang, L Ding J, Y Wei. Analysis of drought characteristics over countries and regions of “The Belt and Road” in recent one hundred years. Journal of Geo-information Science, 19, 1442-1455(2017).

    [44] P Wang L, M Wen, X Song J et al. Spatial-temporal variation of aridity index during 1961-2014 in China. Journal of Natural Resources, 31, 1488-1498(2016).

    [45] L Warszawski, K Frieler, V Huber et al. The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP): Project framework. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111, 3228-3232(2014).

    [46] H Yin Y, H Wu S, D Zheng et al. Regional difference of aridity/humidity conditions changeover China during the last thirty years. Chinese Science Bulletin, 50, 2226-2233(2005).

    [47] L Zhang H, Q Zhang, Q Liu et al. Analysis on variation characteristics and differences of the Climate drying degree between South and North of China. Plateau Meteorology, 35, 1339-1351(2016).

    [48] Y Zheng J, J Bian J, S Ge Q. The climate regionalization in China for 1981-2010. Chinese Science Bulletin, 58, 3088-3099(2013).

    [49] Y Zheng J, Y Yin, Y Li B. A new scheme for climate regionalization in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 65, 3-12(2010).

    Jian ZHOU, Tong JIANG, Buda Su, Yanjun WANG, Hui TAO, Jiancheng QIN, Jianqing ZHAI. Spatiotemporal variations of aridity index over the Belt and Road region under the 1.5℃ and 2.0℃ warming scenarios[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(1): 37
    Download Citation