China’s overseas oil and gas dependence: Situation, geographical risks, and countermeasures

Yu YANG; Ze HE

doi:10.18402/resci.2020.08.15

[1] The Outlook for Energy: A view to 2040[online]. https://corporate.exxonmobil.com/Energy-and-environment/Looking-forward/Outlook-for-Energy/Outlook-for-Energy-A-perspective-to-2040

[2] Statistical Review of World Energy 2020[online]. https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2020-full-report.pdf

[3] 王礼茂, 屈秋实, 牟初夫, 等. 中国参与全球能源治理的总体思路与路径选择[J]. 资源科学, 2019,41(5):825-833.

[4] YerginD. The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money and Power[M]. New York: Simon and Schuster(2009).

[5] 杨洋, 董锁成, 李泽红. 中蒙俄经济走廊背景下中俄能源合作进展、驱动力、挑战及对策[J]. 资源科学, 2018,40(2):237-249.

[6] 陈晓鹏, 成升魁, 吴良. 中亚主要能源出口国地缘政治风险的度量与评价[J]. 资源科学, 2018,40(4):773-783.

[7] 于宏源. 地缘安全中的体系均衡: 新时期中国能源安全的挑战与应对[J]. 西亚非洲, 2019, (4):143-160. [Yu HY. System equilibrium in Geo-security: Challenges and responses to China’s energy security in the new era[J]. West Asia and Africa, 2019, (4):143-160.] [Yu H Y. System equilibrium in Geo-security: Challenges and responses to China’s energy security in the new era[J]. West Asia and Africa, 2019, (4): 143-160.]

[8] Keohane RO, Nye JrJ S. Power and interdependence[J]. Survival, 15, 158-165(1973).

[9] Joseph MS[M]. Beyond Fossil Fools: The Roadmap to Energy Independence by 2040(2008).

[10] 王宜强, 赵媛, 郝丽莎. 能源资源流动的研究视角、主要内容及其研究展望[J]. 自然资源学报, 2014,29(9):1613-1625. [Wang YQ, ZhaoY, Hao LS. Perspectives, main contents and future research of energy resources flow[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2014,29(9):1613-1625.] [Wang Y Q, Zhao Y, Hao L S. Perspectives, main contents and future research of energy resources flow[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2014, 29(9): 1613-1625.]

[11] 杜德斌, 段德忠, 刘承良, 等. 1990年以来中国地理学之地缘政治学研究进展[J]. 地理研究, 2015,34(2):199-212.

[12] 渠立权, 骆华松, 胡志丁, 等. 中国石油资源安全评价及保障措施[J]. 世界地理研究, 2017,26(4):11-19. [Qu LQ, Luo HS, Hu ZD, et al. Security evaluation of oil resources and measures on safeguard[J]. World Regional Studies, 2017,26(4):11-19.] [Qu L Q, Luo H S, Hu Z D, et al. Security evaluation of oil resources and measures on safeguard [J]. World Regional Studies, 2017, 26(4): 11-19.]

[13] Wang NQ. Oil Time(2018).

[14] 杨宇, 刘毅, 金凤君. 能源地缘政治视角下中国与中亚: 俄罗斯国际能源合作模式[J]. 地理研究, 2015,34(2):213-224.

[15] 葛全胜, 江东, 陆锋, 等. 地缘环境系统模拟研究探讨[J]. 地理学报, 2017,72(3):371-381.

[16] 王礼茂, 牟初夫, 陆大道. 地缘政治演变驱动力变化与地缘政治学研究新趋势[J]. 地理研究, 2016,35(1):3-13.

[17] 方叶兵, 王礼茂, 屈秋实, 等. 中国能源地缘政治研究进展[J]. 资源科学, 2017,39(6):1037-1047.

[18] 何则, 杨宇, 刘毅, 等. 世界能源贸易网络的演化特征与能源竞合关系[J]. 地理科学进展, 2019,38(10):1621-1632.

[19] 沈镭, 钟帅, 胡纾寒. 全球变化下资源利用的挑战与展望[J]. 资源科学, 2018,40(1):1-10.

[20] 龙如银, 杨家慧. 国家矿产资源安全研究现状及展望[J]. 资源科学, 2018,40(3):465-476.

[21] 中国石油技术经济研究院. 2050年世界与中国能源展望[EB/OL]. (2016-07-14) [2019-12-10]. https://www.in-en.com/article/html/energy-2255134.shtml. [China’s Institute of Petroleum Technology and Economics. Energy Outlook for the World and China in 2050[EB/OL]. (2016-07-14) [2019-12-10]. https://www.in-en.com/article/html/energy-2255134.shtml. ] [China’s Institute of Petroleum Technology and Economics. Energy Outlook for the World and China in 2050[EB/OL].(2016-07-14) [2019-12-10]. https: //www.in-en.com/article/html/energy-2255134.shtml.] https://www.in-en.com/article/html/energy-2255134.shtml

[22] 潜旭明. 美国能源霸权探析-基于能源地缘政治学的视角[J]. 江南社会学院学报, 2013,15(1):1-6. [Qian XM. The logic of U. S. energy hegemony from the perspective of energy geopolitics[J]. Journal of Jiangnan Social University, 2013,15(1):1-6.] [Qian X M. The logic of U. S. energy hegemony from the perspective of energy geopolitics[J]. Journal of Jiangnan Social University, 2013, 15(1): 1-6.]

[23] 杨宇, 刘毅. 世界能源地理研究进展及学科发展展望[J]. 地理科学进展, 2013,32(5):818-830.

[24] 卫培. 安哥拉产量分成合同和风险服务合同比较分析[J]. 石油化工技术与经济, 2019,35(4):4-9. [WeiP. Comparative analysis of production sharing contract and risk service contract in Angola[J]. Technology and Economics in Petrochemicals, 2019,35(4):4-9.] [Wei P. Comparative analysis of production sharing contract and risk service contract in Angola[J]. Technology and Economics in Petrochemicals, 2019, 35(4): 4-9.]

[25] 杨宇, 何则, 刘毅. “丝绸之路经济带”中国与中亚国家油气贸易合作的现状、问题与对策[J]. 中国科学院院刊, 2018,33(6):575-584. [YangY, HeZ, LiuY. Global energy cooperation between china and central Asia: Current situation, risks, and countermeasures[J]. Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2018,33(6):575-584.] [Yang Y, He Z, Liu Y. Global energy cooperation between china and central Asia: Current situation, risks, and countermeasures[J]. Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2018, 33(6): 575-584.]

[26] Wang SG, ChenB. Hybrid ecological network and flow-distance analysis for international oil trade[J]. Energy Procedia, 104, 209-214(2016).

[27] Du RJ, WangY, Dong GG et al. A complex network perspective on interrelations and evolution features of international oil trade, 2002-2013[J]. Applied Energy, 196, 142-151(2017).

[28] 杨宇, 王礼茂, 江东, 等. 美国对伊朗石油禁运与全球能源安全[J]. 地理研究, 2018,37(10):1879-1898.

[29] Xia YS, Fu QZ. Research on China’s International Energy Development Strategy(2009).

[30] 高兰. 中日东海油气田合作开发与“东亚能源共同体”的建设[J]. 世界经济研究, 2009, (5):82-86. [GaoL. The East Sea oil co-operation between China and Japan and their compact on “East Asia Energy Community”[J]. World Economy Study, 2009, (5):82-86.] [Gao L. The East Sea oil co-operation between China and Japan and their compact on “East Asia Energy Community”[J]. World Economy Study, 2009, (5): 82-86.]

[31] 姜姝, 张植荣. 东海油争: 能源地缘政治与中日钓鱼岛争端[J]. 中国地质大学学报(社会科学版), 2014,14(2):30-34. [JiangS, Zhang ZR. Oil dispute in the east China sea: Energy geopolitics and the Diaoyu island dispute between China and Japan[J]. Journal of China University of Geosciences (Social Science Edition), 2014,14(2):30-34.] [Jiang S, Zhang Z R. Oil dispute in the east China sea: Energy geopolitics and the Diaoyu island dispute between China and Japan[J]. Journal of China University of Geosciences (Social Science Edition), 2014, 14(2): 30-34.]

[32] 张帅, 任欣霖. 印度能源外交的现状与特点[J]. 国际石油经济, 2018,26(3):83-90. [ZhangS, Ren XL. Status quo and characteristics of India’s energy diplomacy[J]. International Petroleum Economics, 2018,26(3):83-90.] [Zhang S, Ren X L. Status quo and characteristics of India’s energy diplomacy[J]. International Petroleum Economics, 2018, 26(3): 83-90.]

[33] 梁芳. 美国控制海上战略通道的理论实践与启示[J]. 中国海洋大学学报(社会科学版), 2019, (5):39-46. [LiangF. The theory and practice of US control of maritime strategic access and its implications[J]. Journal of Ocean University of China (Social Sciences Edition), 2019, (5):39-46.] [Liang F. The theory and practice of US control of maritime strategic access and its implications[J]. Journal of Ocean University of China (Social Sciences Edition), 2019, (5): 39-46.]

[34] 李岩, 王礼茂. 从地缘政治角度看中国石油进口运输安全[J]. 资源科学, 2008,30(12):1784-1790.

[35] 管清友, 何帆. 中国的能源安全与国际能源合作[J]. 世界经济与政治, 2007, (11):45-53. [Guan QY, HeF. China’s energy security and international energy cooperation[J]. World Economics and Politics, 2007, (11):45-53.] [Guan Q Y, He F. China’s energy security and international energy cooperation[J]. World Economics and Politics, 2007, (11): 45-53.]

[36] Sebier-LopezP. Oil Geopolitics(2008).