Rongfeng Fan, Wenchuan Zhao, Xinyan Li, Yibing Chen, Tianyi Li, You Zhao, Chao Liu, and Yuanjian Yang*
Author Affiliations
School of Atmospheric Physics, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210044, Chinashow less
Fig. 1. 0.5° grid average distribution of precipitation samples, average surface rain rate, cloud microphysics and spectral parameters during Meiyu period over the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley. (a) Precipitation sample number; (b) rain rate; (c) reflectivity of 0.63 μm channel; (d) reflectivity of 1.6 μm channel; (e) black body temperature of 3.7 μm channel; (f) black body temperature of 10.8 μm channel; (g) cloud effective radius; (h) cloud optical thickness; (i) cloud water path
Fig. 2. Scatter of predicted rain rate of random forest model and observed rain rate for training set and testing set. (a) Training set; (b) testing set
Fig. 3. 0.5° grid average distribution of precipitation intensity prediction, observation and their difference. (a) Predicted surface rain rate over the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley from 1998 to 2007; (b) observed surface rain rate over the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley from 1998 to 2007; (c) difference of predicted and observed surface rain rates over the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley from 1998 to 2007; (d) predicted surface rain rate in orbit 9121; (e) observed surface rain rate in orbit 9121; (f) difference of predicted and observed surface rain rates in orbit 9121
Fig. 4. Scatter of predicted and observed surface rain rate of proposed model. (a) All the rain rate during Meiyu period over the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley from 1998 to 2007; (b) all the rain rate in orbit 9121
Fig. 5. Probability distribution of precipitation intensity at different levels (light rain, moderate rain, heavy rain, torrential rain, extra-torrential rain) under different cloud characteristic parameters. (a) CWP; (b) TB4; (c) CER; (d) COT
Fig. 6. Relationship between precipitation intensity, cloud characteristic parameters and cloud top temperate as cloud top height. (a) RR; (b) CER; (c) COT; (d) CWP
Year | Meiyu period (dd/mm) |
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1998 | 23/06-04/07,16/07-03/08 | 1999 | 08/06-17/06,22/06-01/07,06/07-18/07 | 2000 | 24/05-04/06,20/06-30/06 | 2001 | 17/06-25/06 | 2002 | 19/06-28/06 | 2003 | 20/06-11/07,17/07-22/07 | 2004 | 14/06-27/06,10/07-20/07 | 2005 | 05/07-13/07 | 2006 | 22/06-11/07 | 2007 | 19/06-26/07 |
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Table 1. Meiyu periods over the Yangtze-Huaihe river basin from 1998 to 2007
Number | Variable | Physical meaning | Number | Variable | Physical meaning |
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1 | RR /(mm·h-1) | Rain rate | 10 | SRF12 | RF1 minus RF2 | 2 | RT | Precipitation type | 11 | STB34 | TB3 minus TB4 | 3 | RF1 | Reflectivity of 0.63 μm channel | 12 | STB45 | TB4 minus TB5 | 4 | RF2 | Reflectivity of 1.6 μm channel | 13 | STB35 | TB3 minus TB4 | 5 | TB3 /K | Black body temperature of 3.7 μm channel | 14 | DRF12 | RF1 divide RF2 | 6 | TB4 /K | Black body temperature of 10.8 μm channel | 15 | DTB34 | TB3 divide TB4 | 7 | TB5 /K | Black body temperature of 12 μm channel | 16 | DTB45 | TB4 divide TB5 | 8 | CER /μm | Cloud effective radius | 17 | DTB35 | TB3 divide TB5 | 9 | CWP /(kg·m-3) | Cloud water path | | | |
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Table 2. Model input predictive factor table
Parameter | IncMSE /% | IncNode Purity |
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RT | 42.92 | 33524.4 | TB3 | 5.66 | 5531.0 | STB45 | 4.98 | 4377.8 | DTB45 | 4.86 | 4304.8 | CWP | 4.6 | 5686.3 | STB35 | 4.12 | 2879.3 | RF1 | 3.91 | 6631.2 | DRF12 | 3.74 | 5356.4 | STB34 | 3.74 | 2908.1 | RF2 | 3.69 | 3697.9 | CER | 3.64 | 3108.0 | DTB34 | 3.34 | 2857.7 | DTB35 | 3.14 | 2921.6 | SRF12 | 2.65 | 9617.4 | TB4 | 2.61 | 6172.1 | TB5 | 2.4 | 4856.2 |
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Table 3. Importance of forests random variables
Classification | CWP /(kg·m-3) | TB4 /K | CER /μm | COT |
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1 | (0, 0.5] | (0,213] | (6,10] | (0,30] | 2 | (0.5, 1.0] | (213,233] | (10,14] | (30,60] | 3 | (1.0, 1.5] | (233,253] | (14,18] | (60,90] | 4 | (1.5, 2.0] | (253,273) | (18,22] | (90,120] | 5 | (2.0,+∞) | (273, +∞) | (22,+∞] | (120,+∞] |
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Table 4. Statistical classification table of cloud microphysical parameters and cloud top temperature (each segment contains only the right boundary value)