• Journal of Geographical Sciences
  • Vol. 30, Issue 12, 1985 (2020)
Yuyao YE1、*, Changjian WANG1, Hong’ou ZHANG1, Ji YANG1、2, Zhengqian LIU1、3, Kangmin WU1, and Yingbin DENG1
Author Affiliations
  • 1Key Lab of Guangdong for Utilization of Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System, Guangdong Open Laboratory of Geospatial Information Technology and Application, Guangzhou Institute of Geography, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510070, China
  • 2Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory, Guangzhou 511458, China
  • 3School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510090, China
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    DOI: 10.1007/s11442-020-1823-7 Cite this Article
    Yuyao YE, Changjian WANG, Hong’ou ZHANG, Ji YANG, Zhengqian LIU, Kangmin WU, Yingbin DENG. Spatiotemporal analysis of COVID-19 risk in Guangdong Province based on population migration[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(12): 1985 Copy Citation Text show less
    Research framework
    Fig. 1. Research framework
    Probability distribution qf(t) of the lag period of COVID-19 cases imported into Shenzhen
    Fig. 2. Probability distribution qf(t) of the lag period of COVID-19 cases imported into Shenzhen
    Trends of daily imported risk (Riskinput) of the COVID-19 epidemic in various cities in Guangdong Province
    Fig. 3. Trends of daily imported risk (Riskinput) of the COVID-19 epidemic in various cities in Guangdong Province
    Cumulative imported risk (Riskinput) situation of various cities in Guangdong Province
    Fig. 4. Cumulative imported risk (Riskinput) situation of various cities in Guangdong Province
    Spatial distribution of cumulative imported risks by city (Guangdong Province)
    Fig. 5. Spatial distribution of cumulative imported risks by city (Guangdong Province)
    Spatiotemporal distribution of diffusion risk coefficients in cities across Guangdong
    Fig. 6. Spatiotemporal distribution of diffusion risk coefficients in cities across Guangdong
    Daily diffusion risk (Riskdiffusion) of cities across Guangdong Province
    Fig. 7. Daily diffusion risk (Riskdiffusion) of cities across Guangdong Province
    Cumulative diffusion risk (Riskdiffusion) status in cities across Guangdong
    Fig. 8. Cumulative diffusion risk (Riskdiffusion) status in cities across Guangdong
    Spatiotemporal distribution of cumulative diffusion risk across cities in Guangdong Province
    Fig. 9. Spatiotemporal distribution of cumulative diffusion risk across cities in Guangdong Province
    VariableExplanationValue range and type
    Case numberReleased by Shenzhen Health Commission
    SexPatient’s sexMale/female
    AgePatient’s ageInteger, 0-100
    Place of residencyProvince-City, e.g., Guangdong-Shenzhen
    Time in WuhanTime period, YYYY/MM/DD-YYYY/MM/DDData/time period
    Time of arrival at ShenzhenYYYY/MM/DDDate
    Time of illness onsetYYYY/MM/DDDate
    Cause of infection0: Resided in or visited Wuhan; 1: Resided in or visited a place in Hubei outside of Wuhan 2: Had close contact with a person who resided in or visited Hubei but did not reside in or visit Hubei; 3: Had close contact with a confirmed case but did not reside in or visit Hubei; NA: Unknown0/1/2/3/NA
    Table 1.

    Explanation of some variables

    VariableUnitMinimum valueMaximum valueMeanStandard deviation
    Size of permanent population10,000 person189.11001490.4400540.2857340.7044
    Size of mobile population10,000 person15.5563875.4548155.5160233.0246
    Number of health care institutions838.00004598.00002453.66671067.6306
    Number of hospital beds6682.000095134.000024617.761919017.7786
    Number of health care workers13666.0000188695.000043890.619040236.0240
    Number of industrial firms244.00007937.00002328.71432600.5551
    Is there an airport/010.38100.4976
    Traffic volume10,000 vehicles2189.95107122.220118495.6372527728.30962
    Table 2.

    Statistical analysis of the indicator variables

    Yuyao YE, Changjian WANG, Hong’ou ZHANG, Ji YANG, Zhengqian LIU, Kangmin WU, Yingbin DENG. Spatiotemporal analysis of COVID-19 risk in Guangdong Province based on population migration[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(12): 1985
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