• Journal of Geographical Sciences
  • Vol. 30, Issue 9, 1387 (2020)
Bin MA1, Bo ZHANG1、*, and Lige JIA1、2
Author Affiliations
  • 1College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China
  • 2Tourism College, Inner Mongolia Normal University, Huhhot 010022, China
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    DOI: 10.1007/s11442-020-1788-6 Cite this Article
    Bin MA, Bo ZHANG, Lige JIA. Spatio-temporal variation in China’s climatic seasons from 1951 to 2017[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(9): 1387 Copy Citation Text show less
    Location of the meteorological stations. R is the goodness of fit between missing data and completion data in China
    Fig. 1. Location of the meteorological stations. R is the goodness of fit between missing data and completion data in China
    Spatial distribution of climatic seasonal regions in different Climate Normals in China
    Fig. 2. Spatial distribution of climatic seasonal regions in different Climate Normals in China
    Spatial distribution of spring, summer, autumn and winter duration in different Climate Normals in China
    Fig. 3. Spatial distribution of spring, summer, autumn and winter duration in different Climate Normals in China
    Linear trends and cumulative anomaly curves in different climatic seasonal regions from 1951 to 2017
    Fig. 4. Linear trends and cumulative anomaly curves in different climatic seasonal regions from 1951 to 2017
    Spatial distribution of expanded area for climatic seasonal regions in China after 1994
    Fig. 5. Spatial distribution of expanded area for climatic seasonal regions in China after 1994
    Trends of spring, summer, autumn and winter durations from 1951 to 2017
    Fig. 6. Trends of spring, summer, autumn and winter durations from 1951 to 2017
    Trends of the spring, summer, autumn and winter starting dates in China from 1951 to 2017
    Fig. 7. Trends of the spring, summer, autumn and winter starting dates in China from 1951 to 2017
    SeasonsSpringSummerAutumnWinter
    Threshold$10\ \le T{{\overline{M}}_{j}}<22\ $℃$T{{\overline{M}}_{j}}\ge 22\ $℃$10\ \le T{{\overline{M}}_{j}}<22\ $℃$T{{\overline{M}}_{j}}<10\ $℃
    Table 1.

    Threshold temperatures for different climatic seasons

    Climatic seasons regionsAbbreviationThreshold for the temperature of tenderness
    Perennial-winter regionPWR$T{{\overline{M}}_{j}}<10$℃
    Perennial-summer regionPSuR$T{{\overline{M}}_{j}}\ge 22$℃
    Perennial-spring regionPSpR$10\le T{{\overline{M}}_{j}}<22$℃
    No-winter regionNWR$T{{\overline{M}}_{j}}\ge 10$℃
    No-summer regionNSR$T{{\overline{M}}_{j}}<22$℃
    Discernible regionDRExcept the above five cases
    Table 2.

    Definition of normal climatic seasonal regions

    Climate NormalThresholdMultiple regression modelR2Significance level
    1951-198010 ℃$\begin{align} & Y=4014.82\text{+}41.71\times \theta \text{+}0.003\times {{\theta }^{3}}-4.32\times \text{sin}\theta -1280.2\times \\ & \ \ \ \ \ \ \text{ln}\theta -119.38\times \text{ln}\varphi -0.02\times h \\ \end{align}$0.970.001
    22 ℃$\begin{align} & Y=3461.58+93.51\times \theta -0.65\times {{\theta }^{2}}\text{+}2.42\times \text{sin}\theta -1759.02\times \\ & \ \ \ \ \ \ \text{ln}\theta -121.4\times \text{ln}\varphi -0.09\times h \\ \end{align}$0.9580.001
    1961-199010 ℃$\begin{align} & Y=4025.87\text{+}41.94\times \theta -0.003\times {{\theta }^{3}}-4.28\times \text{sin}\theta -1285.43\times \\ & \ \ \ \ \ \ \text{ln}\theta -119.33\times \text{ln}\varphi -0.02\times h \\ \end{align}$0.970.001
    22 ℃$\begin{align} & Y=3461.57\text{+}93.51\times \theta -0.65\times {{\theta }^{2}}\text{+}2.42\times \text{sin}\theta -1759.02\times \\ & \ \ \ \ \ \ \text{ln}\theta -121.4\times \text{ln}\varphi -0.09\times h \\ \end{align}$0.9580.001
    1971-200010 ℃$\begin{align} & Y=4009.6\text{+}41.7\times \theta -0.003\times {{\theta }^{3}}-5.39\times \text{sin}\theta -1280.05\times \\ & \ \ \ \ \ \ \text{ln}\theta -118.44\times \text{ln}\varphi -0.02\times h \\ \end{align}$0.970.001
    22 ℃$\begin{align} & Y=3682.63\text{+}105.4\times \theta -0.74\times {{\theta }^{2}}\text{+}1.75\times \text{sin}\theta -1964.13\times \\ & \ \ \ \ \ \ \text{ln}\theta -165.82\times \text{ln}\varphi -0.1\times h \\ \end{align}$0.9580.001
    1981-201010 ℃$\begin{align} & Y=3801.72\text{+}38.03\times \theta -0.003\times {{\theta }^{3}}-5.44\times \text{sin}\theta -1193.74\times \\ & \ \ \ \ \ \ \text{ln}\theta -114.2\times \text{ln}\varphi -0.02\times h \\ \end{align}$0.970.001
    22 ℃$\begin{align} & Y=3395.83\text{+}67.93\times \theta -0.006\times {{\theta }^{3}}\text{+}2.1\times \text{sin}\theta -1671.14\times \\ & \ \ \ \ \ \ \text{ln}\theta -147\times \text{ln}\varphi -0.1\times h \\ \end{align}$0.9590.001
    Table 3.

    Multiple regression models for climatic seasonal length simulation in China for different Climate Normals

    StationRSRSMEStationRSRSME
    Hailar0.9961.215.05Dardo0.9979.3322.77
    Karamay0.9847.8723.47Yanyuan0.99109.7617.15
    Korla0.9956.0819.86Zhanyi0.99124.6524.16
    Yarkant0.9962.225.61Gaoping0.9977.554.40
    Naomaohu0.9844.7917.10Shuangfeng0.9963.334.76
    Jiuquan0.9972.0315.55Xuzhou0.9957.503.45
    Gonghe0.9961.2010.06Anqing0.9962.443.26
    Urad Zhongqi0.9968.656.08Wenzhou0.9977.666.83
    Houma0.9958.183.94Du’an0.9988.153.00
    Changchun0.9956.584.68Meixian0.9987.596.98
    Qinglong0.9960.404.03Tainan0.9976.5948.13
    Sog0.9835.708.39Qionghai0.9960.2416.26
    Table 4.

    The R, S and RMSE between measured and simulated values of the validation site

    Bin MA, Bo ZHANG, Lige JIA. Spatio-temporal variation in China’s climatic seasons from 1951 to 2017[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(9): 1387
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