Characteristics of industrial structure evolution and isomorphism in Central Asia

Lei KANG; Yi LIU

doi:10.1007/s11442-020-1812-x

Journals >Journal of Geographical Sciences >Volume 30 >Issue 11 >Page 1781 > Article

Journal of Geographical Sciences
Vol. 30, Issue 11, 1781 (2020)

Characteristics of industrial structure evolution and isomorphism in Central Asia

Lei KANG^1、* and Yi LIU^1、2

Author Affiliations

¹Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China

²College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

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DOI: 10.1007/s11442-020-1812-x Cite this Article

Lei KANG, Yi LIU. Characteristics of industrial structure evolution and isomorphism in Central Asia[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(11): 1781 Copy Citation Text

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Fig. 1. Location of Central Asian countries

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Fig. 2. Structural trends of evolution of the three industrial sectors in Central Asia from 1990 to 2016

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Fig. 3. Comparative advantages of the evolutions of industrial structures in five Central Asian countries

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Fig. 4. Industrial isomorphism among the five Central Asian countries at different industrial levels

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Country	Year	Agriculture, hunting, forestry, fishing	Mining, manufacturing, utilities	Manufacturing	Construction	Wholesale, retail trade, restaurants and hotels	Transport, storage, communication
Kazakhstan	1990	9.80	26.91	10.34	10.42	11.23	13.61
	2000	6.97	35.13	12.95	3.89	12.89	10.22
	2010	4.51	32.90	11.32	7.70	13.86	11.12
	2016	4.35	27.25	10.24	7.59	16.45	13.07
Uzbekistan	1990	17.60	37.58	31.58	6.92	7.39	18.43
	2000	19.36	28.74	24.11	4.95	8.04	9.09
	2010	17.95	24.23	20.28	6.03	9.59	11.76
	2016	16.85	20.81	17.41	5.23	17.07	13.59
Tajikistan	1990	12.54	27.81	27.81	8.89	15.07	4.56
	2000	18.46	27.13	27.13	6.14	14.88	3.80
	2010	19.59	14.74	14.74	10.23	20.24	11.16
	2016	19.35	12.71	12.71	9.95	25.41	9.12
Kyrgyzstan	1990	12.26	40.18	34.83	9.39	11.37	7.89
	2000	21.15	28.70	23.18	3.72	10.88	4.28
	2010	17.45	20.74	16.86	5.52	17.17	9.07
	2016	15.33	17.82	13.70	9.98	21.66	9.44
Turkmenistan	1990	32.89	25.90	25.53	3.71	8.91	12.12
	2000	22.95	35.04	33.01	6.77	3.51	6.63
	2010	14.07	38.99	36.75	7.84	4.21	6.43
	2016	13.11	41.38	39.00	8.32	4.08	6.24

Table 1.

The proportions of outputs of subdivided industries from 1990 to 2016 (%)

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Period	Industry type	Gj	Nj	Pj	Dj	(PD)j
1990-1999	Primary	-46.18	-4.38	-29.26	-12.54	-41.80
	Secondary	-134.86	-45.52	-77.32	-12.02	-89.34
	Tertiary	-192.06	-99.03	-99.35	6.32	-93.03
2000-2009	Primary	28.90	3.02	21.53	4.35	25.88
	Secondary	295.32	108.03	164.42	22.87	187.29
	Tertiary	383.27	170.91	184.83	27.53	212.36
2010-2016	Primary	16.15	2.38	24.17	-10.41	13.77
	Secondary	62.48	58.13	85.33	-80.98	4.36
	Tertiary	271.77	182.88	179.19	-90.31	88.89

Table 2.

Shift-share method analysis of Kazakhstan in different periods from 1990-2016

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Period	Industry type	Gj	Nj	Pj	Dj	(PD)j
1990-1999	Primary	1.77	-1.68	-11.18	14.63	3.45
	Secondary	-24.31	-11.55	-19.61	6.86	-12.76
	Tertiary	-49.47	-25.13	-25.21	0.87	-24.34
2000-2009	Primary	27.64	2.53	18.02	7.10	25.12
	Secondary	44.27	28.11	42.78	-26.62	16.16
	Tertiary	70.77	42.29	45.74	-17.26	28.48
2010-2016	Primary	33.06	2.53	25.69	4.84	30.53
	Secondary	41.17	11.56	16.98	12.63	29.61
	Tertiary	153.73	40.27	39.46	74.00	113.46

Table 3.

Shift-share method analysis of Uzbekistan in different periods from 1990-2016

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Period	Industry type	Gj	Nj	Pj	Dj	(PD)j
1990-1999	Primary	-4.32	-0.40	-2.66	-1.26	-3.92
	Secondary	-15.83	-3.17	-5.39	-7.26	-12.66
	Tertiary	-17.97	-5.38	-5.40	-7.18	-12.59
2000-2009	Primary	5.55	0.31	2.21	3.03	5.24
	Secondary	4.72	3.58	5.45	-4.30	1.14
	Tertiary	13.90	5.09	5.50	3.31	8.81
2010-2016	Primary	4.56	0.39	4.00	0.17	4.17
	Secondary	4.19	1.36	2.00	0.83	2.83
	Tertiary	13.21	6.08	5.96	1.17	7.13

Table 4.

Shift-share method analysis of Tajikistan in different periods from 1990-2016

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Period	Industry type	Gj	Nj	Pj	Dj	(PD)j
1990-1999	Primary	0.69	-0.27	-1.83	2.80	0.97
	Secondary	-13.56	-3.02	-5.13	-5.41	-10.54
	Tertiary	-7.49	-3.95	-3.96	0.43	-3.53
2000-2009	Primary	1.81	0.44	3.13	-1.76	1.37
	Secondary	1.82	4.30	6.55	-9.03	-2.48
	Tertiary	10.13	7.12	7.70	-4.70	3.00
2010-2016	Primary	1.28	0.30	3.03	-2.04	0.98
	Secondary	4.90	1.22	1.79	1.90	3.69
	Tertiary	7.98	5.65	5.54	-3.21	2.33

Table 5.

Shift-share method analysis of Kyrgyzstan in different periods from 1990-2016

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Period	Industry type	Gj	Nj	Pj	Dj	(PD)j
1990-1999	Primary	-19.67	-2.09	-13.95	-3.63	-17.58
	Secondary	4.00	-5.13	-8.71	17.84	9.13
	Tertiary	-21.87	-10.70	-10.74	-0.43	-11.17
2000-2009	Primary	0.28	1.60	11.39	-12.71	-1.32
	Secondary	64.02	18.61	28.33	17.08	45.41
	Tertiary	31.71	19.50	21.09	-8.88	12.21
2010-2016	Primary	20.08	1.13	11.50	7.45	18.95
	Secondary	90.87	10.23	15.02	65.62	80.64
	Tertiary	56.60	19.32	18.93	18.35	37.28

Table 6.

Shift-share method analysis of Turkmenistan in different periods from 1990-2016

Lei KANG, Yi LIU. Characteristics of industrial structure evolution and isomorphism in Central Asia[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(11): 1781

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