• Acta Physica Sinica
  • Vol. 69, Issue 10, 100701-1 (2020)
Chen-Yang Wang1, Qian-Qian Duan1, Kai Zhou1, Jing Yao1, Min Su1, Yi-Chao Fu1, Jun-Yang Ji1, Xin Hong1, Xue-Qin Liu1、*, and Zhi-Yong Wang2、*
Author Affiliations
  • 1Chongqing Key Laboratory of Green Energy Materials Technology and Systems, School of Science, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China
  • 2School of Physical Science and Technology, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China
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    DOI: 10.7498/aps.69.20191935 Cite this Article
    Chen-Yang Wang, Qian-Qian Duan, Kai Zhou, Jing Yao, Min Su, Yi-Chao Fu, Jun-Yang Ji, Xin Hong, Xue-Qin Liu, Zhi-Yong Wang. A hybrid model for photovoltaic power prediction of both convolutional and long short-term memory neural networks optimized by genetic algorithm[J]. Acta Physica Sinica, 2020, 69(10): 100701-1 Copy Citation Text show less

    Abstract

    Photovoltaic power generation is affected by weather and geographical environment, showing fluctuations and random multi-interference, and its output power is easy to change with changes in external factors. Therefore, the prediction of output power is crucial to optimize the grid-connected operation of photovoltaic power generation and reduce the impact of uncertainty. This paper proposes a hybrid model of both convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) based on genetic algorithm (GA) optimization (GA-CNN-LSTM). First, the CNN module is used to extract the spatial features of the data, and then the LSTM module is used to extract the temporal features and nearby hidden states. Optimizing the hyperparameter weights and bias values of the LSTM training network through GA. At the initial stage, the historical data is normalized, and all features were analyzed by grey relational degree. Important features are extracted to reduce the computational complexity of the data. Then, the GA-optimized CNN-LSTM hybrid neural network model (GA-CNN-LSTM) is applied for photovoltaic power prediction experiment. The GA-CNN-LSTM model was compared with the single neural network models such as CNN and LSTM, and the CNN-LSTM hybrid neural network model without GA optimization. Under the Mean Absolute Percentage Error index, the GA-CNN-LSTM algorithm proposed in this paper reduces the error by 1.537% compared with the ordinary single neural network model, and 0.873% compared with the unoptimized CNN-LSTM hybrid neural network algorithm model. From the perspective of training and test running time, the GA-CNN-LSTM model takes a little longer than the single neural network model, but the disadvantage is not obvious. To sum up, the performance of GA-CNN-LSTM model for photovoltaic power predicting is better.
    Chen-Yang Wang, Qian-Qian Duan, Kai Zhou, Jing Yao, Min Su, Yi-Chao Fu, Jun-Yang Ji, Xin Hong, Xue-Qin Liu, Zhi-Yong Wang. A hybrid model for photovoltaic power prediction of both convolutional and long short-term memory neural networks optimized by genetic algorithm[J]. Acta Physica Sinica, 2020, 69(10): 100701-1
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