• Journal of Natural Resources
  • Vol. 35, Issue 5, 1119 (2020)
Cheng WANG*, Rong-rong FAN, and Zhuo-qi LONG
Author Affiliations
  • School of Geographical Sciences, The Laboratory of Research on Rural Human Settlements, Southwest University, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Karst Environment, Chongqing 400715, China
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    DOI: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20200509 Cite this Article
    Cheng WANG, Rong-rong FAN, Zhuo-qi LONG. Risk assessment and spatial differentiation pattern of rural production space system in Chongqing Municipality[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2020, 35(5): 1119 Copy Citation Text show less
    The analysis framework exploring risk mechanism of rural production space system
    Fig. 1. The analysis framework exploring risk mechanism of rural production space system
    Risk spatial distribution of rural production space system in Chongqing Municipality
    Fig. 2. Risk spatial distribution of rural production space system in Chongqing Municipality
    准则层指标层指标解释及单位计算方法权重
    A
    风险源压力
    0.4792
    A1乡村人口净流出率反映乡村人口流失压力/%(常住人口-户籍人口)/户籍人口×100%0.0464
    A2城镇工矿用地面积
    占比
    间接反映系统受到非自然性压缩
    程度/%
    城镇工矿用地面积/研究单元面积0.3206
    A3复种指数反映耕地的开发利用强度农作物播种面积/耕地面积0.0172
    A4水土流失率反映土地利用方式的不可持续性/%水土流失面积/研究单元面积0.0970
    A5农业受灾率反映自然灾害压力/%农业受灾面积/农作物播种面积0.2929
    A6化肥投用强度反映生产活动强度/(t/hm2)化肥投用量/农作物播种面积0.1070
    A7农药投用强度反映农产品质量水平/(t/hm2)农药投用量/农作物播种面积0.1189
    B
    风险
    载体
    状态
    0.3130
    B1乡村范围内实有劳动力占比反映乡村生产主体的数量情况/%乡村实有劳动力/乡村总人口0.1696
    B2农村常住居民人均纯收入反映乡村居民的经济水平/(元/人)农村常住居民纯收入总和/农村常住居民0.2038
    B3劳动力投入强度反映土地利用粗放化程度/(人/hm2)乡村农业就业人口/农作物播种 面积0.0293
    B4耕地可实现单产反映土地生产能力状况/(kg/hm2)耕地可实现产能/耕地面积0.0973
    B5人均粮食产量反映粮食安全保障情况/(t/人)粮食总产量/乡村总人口0.1513
    B6农业商品率反映农业市场需求情况/%农业商品产值/农业总产值×100%0.1385
    B7第一产业产值占
    GDP比例
    反映第一产业在乡村经济中的
    优势度/%
    第一产业产值/国内生产总值0.2102
    C
    风险
    控制
    机制
    响应
    0.2078
    C1农业科技人员数占比反映主体应对风险的技术水平/%农业科技系统人员数/乡村总人口0.0754
    C2 农村产业保险密度反映农村生产主体的风险防范
    意识/%
    农业保险保费收入/乡村总人口0.2288
    C3永久基本农田保护面积占比反映保障耕地数量的政策响应
    程度/%
    永久基本农田保护面积/研究单元面积0.1341
    C4水土流失治理率反映保障土壤质量的政策响应
    强度/%
    水土流失治理面积/水土流失总 面积0.1616
    C5农林水事务财政支出强度反映乡村生产管理水平/(万元/hm2)农林水事务财政支出/耕地面积0.0977
    C6农业灾害强度指数反映农业灾害抗灾能力/%农业成灾面积/农业受灾面积0.0273
    C7人均农林牧渔服务业产值反映应对风险的服务水平/(元/人)农林牧渔服务业产值/乡村总人口0.2751
    Table 1. Comprehensive evaluation index system and weight of rural production space system risk
    区县风险源压力风险载体状态风险控制机制响应风险水平
    水平值离差水平值离差水平值离差水平值排序
    万州区0.2003-0.05480.4450-0.05480.1786-0.05730.34129
    黔江区0.33080.07570.3750-0.12480.2167-0.01920.37388
    涪陵区0.30250.04740.4582-0.04160.1960-0.03990.341110
    大渡口区0.44050.18540.53630.03650.52230.28640.42975
    江北区0.43320.17810.4284-0.07140.32910.09320.45943
    沙坪坝区0.45520.20010.4845-0.01530.50140.26550.49172
    九龙坡区0.37060.11550.55030.05050.25860.02270.39567
    南岸区0.45590.20080.4848-0.01500.41100.17510.53111
    北碚区0.26470.00960.4673-0.03250.1506-0.08530.43164
    渝北区0.2400-0.01510.4188-0.08100.2156-0.02030.338712
    巴南区0.1491-0.10600.60350.10370.2275-0.00840.277228
    长寿区0.38510.13000.53590.03610.1773-0.05860.340511
    江津区0.27090.01580.66730.16750.1778-0.05810.266630
    合川区0.2036-0.05150.65990.16010.1927-0.04320.232735
    永川区0.36660.11150.59760.09780.2153-0.02060.330614
    南川区0.2192-0.03590.64580.14600.1992-0.03670.225336
    綦江区0.1954-0.05970.50230.00250.1987-0.03720.320016
    大足区0.1719-0.08320.55040.05060.27910.04320.214137
    璧山区0.1250-0.13010.55590.05610.2149-0.02100.246433
    铜梁区0.1656-0.08950.61940.11960.32920.09330.236234
    潼南区0.2129-0.04220.72180.22200.2273-0.00860.264431
    荣昌区0.36380.10870.53480.03500.28860.05270.315818
    开州区0.27940.02430.4574-0.04240.1676-0.06830.318417
    梁平区0.51060.25550.52400.02420.24570.00980.39626
    武隆区0.2028-0.05230.3897-0.11010.1555-0.08040.330015
    城口县0.1705-0.08460.3870-0.11280.2144-0.02150.296221
    丰都县0.1952-0.05990.4863-0.01350.1840-0.05190.301520
    垫江县0.2308-0.02430.53470.03490.29700.06110.283627
    忠县0.1755-0.07960.54770.04790.1969-0.03900.252732
    云阳县0.2258-0.02930.4856-0.01420.1849-0.05100.288523
    奉节县0.1922-0.06290.4287-0.07110.1504-0.08550.283726
    巫山县0.1468-0.10830.3809-0.11890.1847-0.05120.312219
    巫溪县0.1425-0.11260.3818-0.11800.1364-0.09950.289522
    石柱县0.1695-0.08560.50770.00790.30120.06530.288124
    秀山县0.1562-0.09890.3270-0.17280.2229-0.01300.272329
    酉阳县0.1410-0.11410.4217-0.07810.1826-0.05330.284525
    彭水县0.1768-0.07830.3906-0.10920.1967-0.03920.332813
    Table 2. Statistical results of risk assessment for rural production space system in Chongqing Municipality
    Cheng WANG, Rong-rong FAN, Zhuo-qi LONG. Risk assessment and spatial differentiation pattern of rural production space system in Chongqing Municipality[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2020, 35(5): 1119
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