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Journals >
Resources Science >
Volume 42 >
Issue 8 >
Page 1604 > Article
Resources Science
Vol. 42, Issue 8, 1604 (2020)
Influence of pricing mechanism transferring on iron ore price volatility
Zhe YOU
1、3
, Jinhua Cheng
2、3、*
, Tong WU
1
, and Ran WANG
2、3
Author Affiliations
1
School of Law and Business, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430205, China
2
ddr-line>2. School of Economics & Management, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China
3
Research Center of Resource and Environmental Economics, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China
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DOI:
10.18402/resci.2020.08.14
Cite this Article
Zhe YOU, Jinhua Cheng, Tong WU, Ran WANG.
Influence of pricing mechanism transferring on iron ore price volatility
[J]. Resources Science, 2020, 42(8): 1604
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Fig. 1.
Graph of discontinuity regression
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Fig. 2.
Manipulation test for execution variables
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一级指标
二级指标
三级指标/单位
代码
计算方法
数据来源
铁矿石价格
国内铁矿石进口价格
澳大利亚61.5%粉矿青岛港价格/(元/t)
dIP_index
一阶对数差分
西本数据库
国际铁矿石价格
普氏62%铁矿石指数
dP_mudi
一阶对数差分
西本数据库
供需因素
长期铁矿石需求
国内生产总值增速/%
dGDP
一阶对数差分
世界银行
长期铁矿石供给
国产矿产量/t
dIOP
一阶对数差分
西本数据库
短期铁矿石供给
进口铁矿石港口库存/t
dIS
一阶对数差分
西本数据库
短期铁矿石需求
铁矿石进口量/t
dIM
一阶对数差分
联合国贸易数据库
短期铁矿石供给
国内粗钢产量/t
dCSP
一阶对数差分
西本数据库
金融因素
资本市场因素
标准普尔500股票指数
dbp
500
一阶对数差分
WIND数据库
汇率变动因素
美元兑人民币汇率
dER
一阶对数差分
世界银行
运输因素
运输成本因素
波罗的海干散货指数
dBDI
一阶对数差分
西本数据库
Table 1.
Variable selection
Lwald
Lwald
200
Lwald
250
Lwald
300
Lwald
200
-0.0606***
(-0.0029)
-0.180***
(-0.0595)
0.127
(-0.4436)
-0.0707
(-0.0454)
N
164
164
164
164
Table 2.
Basic regression results
控制变量影响
铁矿石进口量
-0.0109
(0.0377)
国产矿产量
0.0274
(0.0358)
标普500指数
0.177
(0.1236)
进口铁矿石港口库存
-0.0862*
(0.0390)
国内生产总值
-0.0762
(0.1361)
国内粗钢产量
-0.0546
(0.0959)
美元兑人民币汇率
-0.846
(0.6176)
波罗的海干散货指数
-0.0148
(0.0198)
N
164
Table 3.
Regression coefficients of control variables on iron ore import prices
(1)
(2)
Lwald
-0.238**
(0.0861)
-0.0606***
(0.0029)
Lwald
50
-0.0482
-
-0.0482
-
Lwald
200
-0.238**
(0.0861)
-0.180**
(0.0595)
N
164
164
Table 4.
Results of bandwidth sensitivity test
dCSP
dBDI
dER
dIM
dIOP
dIS
Conventional
-0.0518
(-0.0545)
-0.359
(-0.4835)
-0.00149*
(-0.0009)
-0.0979
(-0.123)
0.0769
(-0.1247)
0.079
(-0.153)
Bias-corre~d
-0.0671
(-0.0545)
-0.498
(-0.4835)
-0.00255***
(-0.0009)
-0.112
(-0.123)
0.0812
(-0.1247)
0.0635
(-0.153)
Robust
-0.0671
(-0.0638)
-0.498
(-0.5465)
-0.00255***
(-0.0009)
-0.112
(-0.1459)
0.0812
(-0.151)
0.0635
(-0.1827)
N
164
164
164
164
164
164
Table 5.
Results of continuity test
(1)
(2)
Lwald
-0.238**
(0.0861)
-0.0529
-
Lwald
250
-0.129
(0.0658)
-
-
Lwald
50
-
-
-0.0482
-
Lwald
200
-
-
-1.051
-
N
164
164
Table 6.
Regression results after introducing key covariates and forward terms
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Conventional
0.0849
(0.0704)
-0.044
(0.1064)
0.000238
(0.0981)
0.102
(0.0813)
-0.128
(0.1312)
-0.102
(0.1191)
Bias-corre~d
0.0819
(0.0704)
-0.0792
(0.1064)
-0.0263
(0.0981)
0.101
(0.0813)
-0.151
(0.1312)
-0.119
(0.1191)
Robust
0.0819
(0.0839)
-0.0792
(0.1248)
-0.0263
(0.1146)
0.101
(0.0898)
-0.151
(0.1449)
-0.119
(0.1313)
N
164
164
164
164
164
164
Table 7.
Results of Non-parametric test
(1)
(2)
Lwald
0.289**
(0.1007)
0.164
(0.1001)
Lwald
200
0.289**
(0.1007)
0.205*
(0.0928)
Lwald
250
0.113
(0.1296)
0.102
(0.0919)
Lwald
300
0.0104
(0.1146)
0.101
(0.0834)
N
164
164
Table 8.
Basic regression results for international iron ore price impact mechanism
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Conventional
0.113
(0.1082)
0.0969
(0.0933)
0.103
(0.1007)
0.289*
(0.1316)
0.208*
(0.0998)
0.247*
(0.1067)
Bias-corre~d
0.0628
(0.1082)
0.0622
(0.0933)
0.0642
(0.1007)
0.252
(0.1316)
0.185
(0.0998)
0.220*
(0.1067)
Robust
0.0628
(0.1245)
0.0622
(0.1200)
0.0642
(0.1296)
0.252
(0.1433)
0.185
(0.1168)
0.220
(0.1241)
N
164
164
164
164
164
164
Table 9.
Results of Non-parametric test for international iron ore price impact mechanism
Abstract
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Zhe YOU, Jinhua Cheng, Tong WU, Ran WANG.
Influence of pricing mechanism transferring on iron ore price volatility
[J]. Resources Science, 2020, 42(8): 1604
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Paper Information
Special Issue:
Received: Feb. 19, 2020
Accepted: --
Published Online: Aug. 25, 2020
The Author Email: Cheng Jinhua (chengjinhua100@126.com)
DOI:
10.18402/resci.2020.08.14
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