Lingjie LI, Yintang WANG, Qingfang HU, Yong LIU, Dingzhong LIU, Tingting CUI. Mid- and long-term runoff prediction based on time-varying weight combination and Bayesian correction [J]. Progress in Geography, 2020, 39(4): 643
- Progress in Geography
- Vol. 39, Issue 4, 643 (2020)
Fig. 1. 基于时变权重组合和贝叶斯修正的中长期径流预报方法流程Fig.1
Fig. 2. 云南龙江水库位置示意图Fig.2
Fig. 3. 龙江水库年入库径流与6—8月入库径流的RF与SVM模型的时变权重Fig.3
Fig. 4. 本文方法与RF、SVM模型对龙江水库年、月入库径流预报精度的比较Fig.4
Fig. 5. 本文方法与RF、SVM模型对龙江水库年径流及6—8月径流的预报结果Fig.5
Fig. 6. 基于本文方法预报年径流的水文年型判断结果注：丰水年指超过累积频率(P )<37.5%,平水年指37.5%≤P <62.5%,枯水年指P ≥62.5%。Fig.6
Fig. 7. 基于本文方法预报的龙江水库1961—2017年逐月径流Fig.7
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